Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections ...

Bettors have millions of dollars riding on next week’s midterm elections—and most are feeling bullish about a Democratic ...

A bipartisan pair of senators are pressing Kalshi and Polymarket over prediction markets tied to the November 2026 midterm ...

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva bucked prediction market odds with his unlikely win in the Brazilian ...

Flávio Bolsonaro was the overwhelming favorite, right up until the moment he unceremoniously lost. The post “Prediction” ...

Experts say Brazil's prediction market ban left the odds in the hands of traders with little knowledge about the election.

Prediction markets' failure to call an LA primary correctly raised the possibility they can be manipulated to exaggerate the ...

From Alaska to Texas, the battle for control of the U.S. Senate is unfolding across 35 races. And a new Northwestern ...

From Literary Digest's 1936 disaster to partisan polls skewing primaries, Tevi Troy traces 90 years of polling mishaps and ...

Will pollsters or the prediction markets provide the most accurate forecasts in the midterms?

Investors and election bettors were caught on the wrong side of Brazil ’s presidential election, when leftist president Luiz ...

Republican Rep. Mike Collins details his private conversation with President Trump after the Perry rally and his role in ...