Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections ...

Bettors have millions of dollars riding on next week’s midterm elections—and most are feeling bullish about a Democratic ...

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva bucked prediction market odds with his unlikely win in the Brazilian ...

Experts say Brazil's prediction market ban left the odds in the hands of traders with little knowledge about the election.

Flávio Bolsonaro was the overwhelming favorite, right up until the moment he unceremoniously lost. The post “Prediction” ...

From Alaska to Texas, the battle for control of the U.S. Senate is unfolding across 35 races. And a new Northwestern ...

From Literary Digest's 1936 disaster to partisan polls skewing primaries, Tevi Troy traces 90 years of polling mishaps and ...

Will pollsters or the prediction markets provide the most accurate forecasts in the midterms?

Jimmy Kimmel has a dark prediction about the White House’s future after Donald Trump’s second term ends. The late-night host ...

A bipartisan pair of senators are pressing Kalshi and Polymarket over prediction markets tied to the Nov. 3 midterm elections ...

Republican Rep. Mike Collins details his private conversation with President Trump after the Perry rally and his role in ...

Traders, people who buy and sell contracts for real-world outcomes, give Talarico a 67.5% chance to flip the seat. Paxton ...