"This is truly the first prediction-market election," Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said.

America’s political class is hurtling toward an election that some fear could turn into yet another public opinion polling flop.

Kalshi and Polymarket have handled nearly $1.36 billion in U.S. election-based trades since the start of the year. Here's ...

In July and again in September, Times Opinion asked six polling and politics experts to look into their crystal balls and ...

In some states, election officials report early ballots by party registration, allowing analysts to compare the number of ...

Millions of early votes tell us less than many would think, but there are key takeaways from results in Texas, Kansas, ...

Contracts tied to elections in Ethiopia and Romania saw massive trading volumes after the outcomes were decided. “It’s ...

Prediction market statistics for 2026, covering volume, Kalshi vs Polymarket, accuracy, midterm betting, lawsuits and taxes.

President Trump’s decision not to invite international election observers for the midterms could send a troubling message in ...

Track Which party will win Georgia’s 2026 US Senate election prediction market analysis with live Polymarket odds, ...

Tens of millions of Americans have already voted, offering an initial glimpse into how the pivotal midterms may play out.

Republicans in the US House of Representatives are defending a narrow majority in November's midterm elections. History ...