This paper takes issue with a recent proposal due to Shogenji (Synthese 184:29—48, 2012). In his paper, Shogenji introduces J, a normatively motivated formal measure of justification (and of ...
Physicians tend to excel in science and math, so it's a bit surprising that, in a new study, nearly 8 in 10 ― 78% ― committed a gaffe called the conjunction fallacy. Researchers asked doctors to ...
This is the “conjunction fallacy” and was first discovered by Tversky and Kahneman (1983) who found that 85 percent of their respondents incoherently rated 1 as more probable than 2. A conjunction ...
Animals, like humans, appear to be troubled by a Linda problem. The famous “Linda problem” was designed by psychologists to illustrate how people fall prey to what is known as the conjunction fallacy: ...
This year gave us an idea: Why not sing the praises of a musician before she or he is dead? We picked Stevie Wonder, and declared this week Wonder Week. Leading a healthy pack of pieces about Stevie’s ...
(via TEDEd) Meet Lucy. She was a math major in college, and aced all her courses in probability and statistics. Which do you think is more likely: that Lucy is a portrait artist, or that Lucy is a ...
There are many different ways to assess discrimination. My last post reviewed three recent papers, which use a range of methods, and found discrimination to be a relatively rare exception rather than ...
Sound, light and the conjunction fallacy in rats Some have argued that the conjunction fallacy, rather than being a true logical error, may hinge on language, particularly people's uncertainty about ...